Wednesday, February 13, 2008

 

Why Clinton may have lost the nomination

In one sentence.
"We didn’t put any resources in small states."

-- Clinton Finance Chair Hassan Nemazee, quoted by the New York Observer, on why Clinton might lose the Democratic nomination.

Among other reasons. But it's a good vindication of the Dean/Obama concept of the "50 state strategy."

Comments:
maybe they forgot to put some content in their candidate? that seems more likely to me.
 
dont count weee-pee out yet
 
Call it Dean/Obama if you like, but it is Howard Dean's strategy, that he fought for, that the DLC derided, that is bringing the Democratic Party back into it's proper place in this country. People-powered Howard has been at this since HCDCC and other grass-roots Democrats first helped propel him into the national chairmanship.

Clinton's people stayed largely on the sidelines during the 2004 election, and we ended up with four more years of Bush. During that four years Dean and the DNC have been busy redeveloping the party organization in every state possible. The Clinton camp saw Howard Dean as a threat, then turned it into self-fulfilling prophecy by putting down his highly successful leadership approach.

Democracy for America (DFA) spun off from the Dean campaign after the scream scene. DFA has been backing causes and candidates ever since. The Clinton campaign may be in righteous trouble. We'll see.
 
Don't count her out. She still has large leads in Ohio and Pennsylvania. Obamas small state strategy has served him well. The interesting thing is McCain is looking pretty competitive in recent polls. His loss of support among the rabid right is being offset by his picking up a lot of support from independents who are becoming a larger segment of the vote. I think a lot of us thought that after the disaster of the Bush administration the white house would be a given for the Democrats, I isn't shaping up that way and McCain is showing strength in a lot of the same
places Bush did. ..Dave Kirby
 
Why do you think she's over?? We're not done yet. Underdogs usually pull in a lot of last minute support. Anyway, I'm still voting for her...I've waited all my life to vote for a woman for president.
 
Why do you think she's over?? We're not done yet. Underdogs usually pull in a lot of last minute support. Anyway, I'm still voting for her...I've waited all my life to vote for a woman for president.
 
Why do you think she's over?? We're not done yet. Underdogs usually pull in a lot of last minute support. Anyway, I'm still voting for her...I've waited all my life to vote for a woman for president.
 
"I'm still voting for her...I've waited all my life to vote for a woman for president.".

Maybe Cynthia Mckinney will win the Green Party nomination?
 
To vote for someone only because they are a women, I hope all the white men vote for John McCain, all the blacks for Obama, gender voting will ensure a McCain victory. I WOULD NOT VOTE then, as a woman I despise Hillary Clinton.
 
I wouldn’t get too excited about McCain just yet. He is going to run on the war- This one and the next one he wants to start. Hehehehe. The right wing hate him. They won’t even show up for the election. Listen to them. And have you heard him speak? Don’t forget that he only got here to this place because the other candidates for the Right were so horrible McCain was just the best of the worst. Compare that to what the Dems had to offer. They were solid all the way down to Dodd and Biden. Dave, the Dems have not even started to run against the Repugs yet. As I said McCain is going to be war war war. That will sink him. Even the independents hate the war. Besides that it’s the economy which McCain knows nothing. He is reading Greenspan’s book for his Economics 101 course for Christ’s sake.
 
But..but..but..Eric said she had a lock on the nomination last year? What happened, could the high and mighty Mr. Kirk have been totally flat wrong? Makes you wonder what else Eric is flat wrong about.
 
10:03...I hope you are right. I frankly have been amazed by how quickly the war has been shoved to the back burner. A lot of the trouble makers in Iraq are laying low right now. You are right on when you say McCain will be running on the war. It is where he is most vulnerable. It is not entirely out of the question that we will see an Iraqi version of the Tet offensive in an attempt to influence the election. After all the ayatollah held the hostages in Iran and helped elect Ronnie Raygun....Dave Kirby
 
Yes and Ronnie paid him back with weapons in the Iran/Contra deal.
 
My first thought was, "What... They didn't know most of the states are 'small' states?"

How utterly idiotic to think that you could coast on New York and California alone.
 
Hillary is sweeping Ohio...Go Hillary!!!
 
Why do you think she's over??

Arithmetic. The one who comes out of the primaries with the most delegates will get the superdelegates. She would need 60 percent wins in all of the rest of the states to catch him.

But..but..but..Eric said she had a lock on the nomination last year? What happened, could the high and mighty Mr. Kirk have been totally flat wrong? Makes you wonder what else Eric is flat wrong about.

Yes, I was flat wrong. Makes you wonder.
 
McCain hurt himself yesterday by flip flopping on waterboarding. I guess he figures he can shore up the base that way.
 
The tide is out now but when it comes back McCain will surf to victory.
 
Could happen. The slime machine has been pretty effective for most of the past 20 years.
 
But in the meantime, the tide continues as a big name Republican centrist endorses Obama.
 
Does the decline of Hillary remind you of the decline of Bush Sr when Ross Perot entered the race? No one really liked Sr, but he appeared to have a lock on the race. Then someone (Perot) came along and gave those people who didn't like Sr a way to express it and bingo, we got the Clinton presidency. Now Obama shows that Hillary, who is widely disliked, is not the automatic winner and voters drop her. Not that Obama is Perot, I hope.
 
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